Jérémy Doku
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jérémy Doku's performance-implied value at EUR 52.7M-95.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 60.9M-103.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 35.4M-78.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (1786 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 98.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €85.9M vs market €75.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1786 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.60
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.38
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 98 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1809
- Opponent strength
- 1582
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €35.4M – €78.1M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+60 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -43% to +8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1786 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Manchester City | Premier League | LW | 30 | 1786 | 52% | 5 | 7 | 0.60 | 0.38 | 1582 | 1809 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Manchester City | Premier League | LW | 29 | 1514 | 44% | 3 | 6 | 0.54 | 0.31 | 1553 | 1749 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Manchester City | Premier League | LW | 29 | 1594 | 47% | 3 | 10 | 0.73 | 0.34 | 1563 | 1893 | 1.14 |
| 2023/24 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RW | 2 | 111 | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0.81 | 0.37 | 1380 | 1507 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LW | 29 | 1285 | 38% | 6 | 2 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 1409 | 1562 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LW | 14 | 465 | 14% | 1 | 2 | 0.58 | 0.36 | 1376 | 1581 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RW | 30 | 2318 | 68% | 2 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1442 | 1445 | 0.75 |
| 2020/21 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 7 | 607 | 20% | 2 | 4 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 1267 | 1457 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 21 | 1250 | 48% | 3 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 1380 | 1443 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 9 | 630 | 1 | 3 | 1684 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 199 | 1 | 4 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Belgium | 2 | 142 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 4 | 191 | 0 | 1 | 1571 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 3 | 173 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Community Shield | Manchester City | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1594 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 7 | 299 | 1 | 1 | 1623 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 6 | 256 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 4 | 237 | 0 | 2 | 1549 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Stade Rennais FC | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1522 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Rennais FC | 6 | 401 | 0 | 0 | 1610 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neymar Laliga · 2014 | 22 | €60.0M | €100M | rose |
| Gabriel Jesus Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €75.0M | €32.0M | fell |
| Jadon Sancho Premier League · 2023 | 23 | €45.0M | €28.0M | fell |
| Anthony Martial Premier League · 2019 | 24 | €60.0M | €45.0M | fell |
| Marcus Rashford Premier League · 2018 | 21 | €65.0M | €64.0M | flat |
| Ángel Correa Laliga · 2020 | 25 | €32.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Darwin Núñez Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €70.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| João Félix Laliga · 2021 | 22 | €80.0M | €50.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2023 | Stade Rennais | Man City | €60.0M | €28.0M |
| 5 Oct 2020 | RSC Anderlecht | Stade Rennais | €26.0M | €9.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Anderlecht U21 | RSC Anderlecht | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Anderlecht U17 | Anderlecht U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Anderlecht Yth. | Anderlecht U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Beerschot Yth | Anderlecht Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.