Maksim Paskotsi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maksim Paskotsi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-4.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-6.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-7.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 55
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 40.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €3.9M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1813 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 19)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1386
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €7.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -40% to -9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 22 | 1813 | 67% | 4 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 1386 | 1403 | 0.65 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Afonso Liga Portugal · 2015 | 25 | €2.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Trevoh Chalobah Ligue 1 · 2021 | 22 | €3.5M | €18.0M | rose |
| Pol García Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 24 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Serdar Aziz Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Rúben Liga Portugal · 2015 | 25 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Riccieli Liga Portugal · 2022 | 24 | €1.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Riechedly Bazoer Eredivisie · 2021 | 25 | €4.5M | €2.8M | fell |
| Andreaw Gravillon Ligue 1 · 2021 | 23 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2025 | Grasshoppers | KAA Gent | €800k | €500k |
| 6 Sept 2023 | Tottenham U21 | Grasshoppers | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Spurs U18 | Tottenham U23 | Unknown | €200k |
| 21 Sept 2020 | FC Flora | Spurs U18 | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | FC Flora U21 | FC Flora | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | FC Flora U19 | FC Flora U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Flora U17 | FC Flora U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Kalev Youth | FC Flora U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | SK Everest Jug. | Kalev Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.