Mohamed Ihattaren
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed Ihattaren's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-4.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.78x the positional average in the league (1946 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1946 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.74
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.72
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1175
- Opponent strength
- 1318
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €4.7M
Trajectory drivers: changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -2% (IQR -39% to +29%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | AM | 28 | 1946 | 64% | 6 | 10 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 1318 | 1175 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | AM | 24 | 1544 | 50% | 4 | 5 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 1298 | 1171 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | LW | 22 | 1074 | 35% | 3 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.29 | 1348 | 1567 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | AM | 22 | 1783 | 76% | 3 | 6 | 0.45 | 0.26 | 1363 | 1553 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | AM | 12 | 396 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1277 | 1634 | 0.61 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 137 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 3 | 127 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 328 | 0 | 0 | 1486 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 216 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 478 | 1 | 3 | 1528 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 205 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 202 | 2 | 0 | 1454 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Mensah Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €2.4M | €2.3M | flat |
| Amir Hadziahmetovic Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €2.2M | €7.5M | rose |
| Farouk Miya Super Lig · 2020 | 23 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Kings Kangwa Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €1.2M | €1.5M | rose |
| Dal Varesanovic Super Lig · 2024 | 23 | €2.4M | €1.2M | fell |
| Daniil Khlusevich Premier Liga · 2022 | 21 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Kristijan Bistrovic Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Chandrel Massanga Super Lig · 2024 | 25 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | RKC Waalwijk | Fortuna Sittard | €100k | €1.0M |
| 19 Sept 2024 | Without Club | RKC Waalwijk | Unknown | €100k |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Slavia Praha | Without Club | Unknown | €100k |
| 4 Dec 2023 | Without Club | Slavia Praha | Unknown | €300k |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Samsunspor | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 28 Jul 2023 | Juventus | Samsunspor | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Dec 2022 | Ajax | Juventus | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Juventus | Ajax | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Sampdoria | Juventus | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Juventus | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 30 Aug 2021 | PSV | Juventus | €1.9M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jan 2019 | PSV U19 | PSV | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PSV U17 | PSV U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PSV Yth. | PSV U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | SV Houten Yth. | PSV Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.