
Tyreece John-Jules
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tyreece John-Jules's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.63x the positional average in the league (1152 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 60
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 7.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €938k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1152 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.78
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.83
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 8 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1215
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €525k – €1.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +13% (IQR +0% to +24%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1152 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 18 | 1152 | 39% | 8 | 2 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 1215 | 1104 | 0.31 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Doncaster Rovers | 2 | 105 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jizz Hornkamp Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €1.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Josh Sims Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €375k | €375k | flat |
| Konrad Michalak Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.7M | flat |
| Farley Rosa Super League 1 · 2017 | 23 | €600k | €700k | flat |
| Ricardo Vaz Super League 1 · 2019 | 25 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Torgeir Börven Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Tete Yengi Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €400k | €450k | flat |
| Deian Sorescu Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | Without Club | Kilmarnock FC | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Crawley Town | Without Club | Unknown | €275k |
| 18 Oct 2024 | Without Club | Crawley Town | Unknown | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Arsenal U21 | Without Club | Unknown | €500k |
| 31 May 2024 | Derby | Arsenal U21 | Free / loan | €500k |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Arsenal U21 | Derby | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 May 2023 | Ipswich | Arsenal U21 | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Arsenal U21 | Ipswich | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 May 2022 | Sheff Wed | Arsenal U23 | Free / loan | €700k |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Arsenal U23 | Sheff Wed | Free / loan | €700k |
| 17 Jan 2022 | Blackpool | Arsenal U23 | Free / loan | €700k |
| 29 Jul 2021 | Arsenal U23 | Blackpool | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2021 | Doncaster | Arsenal U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 8 Sept 2020 | Arsenal U23 | Doncaster | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2020 | Lincoln City | Arsenal U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 10 Jan 2020 | Arsenal U23 | Lincoln City | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Arsenal U18 | Arsenal U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Arsenal Youth | Arsenal U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.