
Eduardo Quaresma
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Eduardo Quaresma's performance-implied value at EUR 4.3M-12.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.9M-22.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.6M-25.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 36
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 74.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €16.5M vs market €17.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1186 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1656
- Opponent strength
- 1271
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €9.6M – €25.0M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 160% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -47% to +10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1186 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 66 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 57%–168%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | CB | 16 | 1186 | 39% | 2 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 1271 | 1656 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | CB | 20 | 1399 | 46% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 1350 | 1610 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | CB | 20 | 957 | 31% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 1371 | 1675 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CB | 4 | 85 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1581 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | CD Tondela | Liga Portugal | CB | 25 | 1540 | 50% | 2 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 1370 | 1230 | 0.67 |
| 2020/21 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | CB | 2 | 87 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1349 | 1617 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | CB | 9 | 776 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1377 | 1492 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Sporting CP | 7 | 445 | 0 | 0 | 1668 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Sporting CP | 5 | 215 | 0 | 0 | 1613 |
| 2024/25 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | Sporting CP | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Sporting CP | 4 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 1588 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Veríssimo Liga Portugal · 2021 | 26 | €8.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Jorge Sánchez Eredivisie · 2023 | 26 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Tajon Buchanan Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 25 | €8.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Maicon Liga Portugal · 2014 | 26 | €9.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Layvin Kurzawa Ligue 1 · 2016 | 24 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Frank Acheampong Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 24 | €4.5M | €6.5M | rose |
| Diogo Gonçalves Liga Portugal · 2021 | 24 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Alexander Bah Liga Portugal · 2024 | 27 | €13.0M | €7.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | Hoffenheim | Sporting | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 4 Aug 2022 | Sporting | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Tondela | Sporting | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 27 Jul 2021 | Sporting | Tondela | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Mar 2020 | Sporting CP U23 | Sporting | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Sporting U17 | Sporting CP U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Sporting Sub-15 | Sporting U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Sporting Yth. | Sporting Sub-15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.