Eduardo Quaresma

24 yrs · Centre-back · Portugal
Sporting CP · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€17.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€11.9M – €22.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.3M – €12.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€9.6M – €25.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€18.5M – €957k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€11.9M – €22.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.3M – €12.8M
Projected value (24 months)€9.6M – €25.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€17.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Eduardo Quaresma's performance-implied value at EUR 4.3M-12.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.9M-22.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.6M-25.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 36

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average74.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €16.5M vs market €17.0M
Expected appreciationLow-13% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €18.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1186 (39% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.30
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
75 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1656
Opponent strength
1271
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€9.6M – €25.0M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 160% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -47% to +10%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1186 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
66 (DEF)
Relative output kept
57%–168%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Sporting CPLiga PortugalCB16118639%220.300.10127116560.58
2024/25Sporting CPLiga PortugalCB20139946%100.060.04135016100.51
2023/24Sporting CPLiga PortugalCB2095731%100.090.04137116750.58
2022/23TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesligaCB4853%000.000.06158114441.04
2021/22CD TondelaLiga PortugalCB25154050%210.180.22137012300.67
2020/21Sporting CPLiga PortugalCB2873%000.000.05134916170.61
2019/20Sporting CPLiga PortugalCB977625%000.000.03137714920.59

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueSporting CP7445001668
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueSporting CP5215001613
2024/25Supercup Candido De OliveiraSporting CP1120001628
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueSporting CP4276001588

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Lucas Veríssimo
Liga Portugal · 2021
26€8.0M€6.0Mfell
Jorge Sánchez
Eredivisie · 2023
26€5.0M€2.5Mfell
Tajon Buchanan
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
25€8.0M€12.0Mrose
Maicon
Liga Portugal · 2014
26€9.0M€8.0Mflat
Layvin Kurzawa
Ligue 1 · 2016
24€20.0M€20.0Mflat
Frank Acheampong
Jupiler Pro League · 2017
24€4.5M€6.5Mrose
Diogo Gonçalves
Liga Portugal · 2021
24€8.0M€4.0Mfell
Alexander Bah
Liga Portugal · 2024
27€13.0M€7.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2023HoffenheimSportingFree / loan€2.5M
4 Aug 2022SportingHoffenheimFree / loan€4.0M
30 Jun 2022TondelaSportingFree / loan€4.0M
27 Jul 2021SportingTondelaFree / loan€5.0M
1 Mar 2020Sporting CP U23SportingUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Sporting U17Sporting CP U23UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Sporting Sub-15Sporting U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Sporting Yth.Sporting Sub-15UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.