Naci Ünüvar
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Naci Ünüvar's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (839 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 3.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €640k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 839 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.45
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1134
- Opponent strength
- 1319
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €547k – €2.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -28% to +156%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 839 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LW | 10 | 657 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.45 | 1319 | 1060 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LW | 8 | 182 | 6% | 2 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.45 | 1284 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LW | 11 | 385 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 1300 | 1409 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | LW | 2 | 29 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 1670 | 1411 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LW | 19 | 495 | 16% | 3 | 3 | 1.09 | 0.43 | 1304 | 1466 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 8 | 258 | 8% | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.32 | 1237 | 1377 | 0.50 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 31 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 2 | 100 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1585 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 6 | 109 | 1 | 0 | 1436 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1496 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliou Badji Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €700k | €1.5M | rose |
| Óscar Estupiñán Super Lig · 2020 | 24 | €800k | €3.5M | rose |
| Makana Baku Super Lig · 2022 | 24 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Connor McLennan Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 24 | €375k | €200k | fell |
| Filip Stevanovic Eredivisie · 2024 | 22 | €900k | €900k | flat |
| Jonas Toró Super League 1 · 2023 | 24 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Anis Hadj Moussa Eredivisie · 2024 | 22 | €2.0M | €23.0M | rose |
| Alex Schalk Eredivisie · 2015 | 23 | €450k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Heracles Almelo | FC Twente | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 27 Jan 2026 | FC Twente | Heracles Almelo | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Ajax | FC Twente | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Espanyol | Ajax | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Ajax | Espanyol | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Twente | Ajax | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Ajax | FC Twente | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 10 May 2023 | Trabzonspor | Ajax | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Ajax | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €3.5M |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.