Anis Hadj Moussa

24 yrs · Right winger · Algeria
Feyenoord Rotterdam · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 176 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€23.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€15.7M – €30.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.6M – €12.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€11.4M – €28.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€28.6M – -€3.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€15.7M – €30.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €12.3M
Projected value (24 months)€11.4M – €28.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€23.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anis Hadj Moussa's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-12.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.7M-30.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 11.4M-28.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (2554 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 24

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average58.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €22.2M vs market €23.0M
Expected appreciationLow-23% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €23.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2554 (84% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.60
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.36
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
59 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1423
Opponent strength
1291
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€11.4M – €28.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 19 pts; team strength down (-142 Elo); relative output up 37% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -2% (IQR -21% to +14%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieRW30255483%1160.600.36129114230.43
2024/25Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieRW30197164%840.550.29127715650.50
2023/24Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieRW1484728%120.320.47132711580.48

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam8620211465
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsAlgeria418202—
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingFeyenoord Rotterdam2180101497
2025/26World CupAlgeria27800—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam11785311699
2024/25Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam210400—
2023/24Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem19010—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Noa Lang
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
23€22.0M€18.0Mflat
Anders Dreyer
Superliga · 2023
25€8.0M€9.0Mflat
Brian Brobbey
Eredivisie · 2024
22€35.0M€30.0Mflat
Vangelis Pavlidis
Eredivisie · 2024
26€25.0M€28.0Mflat
Jordan Larsson
Premier Liga · 2021
24€15.0M€3.0Mfell
Gustav Isaksen
Superliga · 2023
22€7.5M€20.0Mrose
Viktor Tsygankov
Premier Liga · 2022
25€25.0M€30.0Mrose
Mateo Cassierra
Premier Liga · 2024
27€11.0M€8.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024Patro EisdenFeyenoord€3.5M€2.0M
30 Jun 2024VitessePatro EisdenFree / loan€2.0M
1 Feb 2024Patro EisdenVitesseFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2023Olym. CharleroiPatro EisdenFree / loanData unavailable
29 Jul 2022RC Lens BOlym. CharleroiFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2021RC Lens U19RC Lens BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Montfermeil JgdRC Lens U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016US Torcy Yth.Montfermeil JgdFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Anis Hadj Moussa · MoneyballAI