
Oliver Sørensen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oliver Sørensen's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-14.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.9M-8.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.3M-9.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (2006 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 60.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €5.7M vs market €6.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2006 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1391
- Opponent strength
- 1492
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.3M – €9.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; league level up (+210 Elo); relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -43% to -14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | CM | 34 | 1834 | 54% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 1492 | 1374 | 0.93 |
| 2025/26 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | CM | 3 | 172 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1184 | 1562 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | CM | 18 | 1485 | 75% | 6 | 1 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 1304 | 1399 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | RM | 20 | 1692 | 85% | 5 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.27 | 1297 | 1449 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | CM | 16 | 950 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1260 | 1368 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | CM | 4 | 37 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1307 | 1429 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | 1297 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 7 | 568 | 0 | 1 | 1540 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 434 | 1 | 1 | 1407 |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 554 | 0 | 0 | 1402 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1448 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Deman Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Riccardo Saponara Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €11.0M | €8.5M | fell |
| Fabio Depaoli Serie A · 2020 | 23 | €4.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Jean-Victor Makengo Ligue 1 · 2023 | 25 | €10.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Emmanuel Badu Serie A · 2017 | 27 | €5.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Dennis Praet Serie A · 2017 | 23 | €8.5M | €24.0M | rose |
| Andrea Poli Serie A · 2013 | 24 | €8.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Rolando Mandragora Serie A · 2020 | 23 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2025 | Midtjylland | Parma | €8.1M | €7.0M |
| 27 Jun 2022 | HamKam | Midtjylland | Free / loan | €300k |
| 31 Mar 2022 | Midtjylland | HamKam | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Midtjylland U19 | Midtjylland | Unknown | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Fredericia | Midtjylland U19 | Free / loan | €150k |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Midtjylland U19 | FC Fredericia | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FCM Youth | Midtjylland U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.