Oliver Sørensen

24 yrs · Central midfielder (also RM) · Denmark
FC Midtjylland · Superliga · Foot: left · Height: 184 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€6.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.9M – €8.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.4M – €14.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.3M – €9.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.1M – €10.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.9M – €8.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.4M – €14.7M
Projected value (24 months)€3.3M – €9.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Oliver Sørensen's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-14.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.9M-8.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.3M-9.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (2006 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 32

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average60.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €5.7M vs market €6.5M
Expected appreciationLow-24% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2006 (59% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1391
Opponent strength
1492
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.3M – €9.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; league level up (+210 Elo); relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -43% to -14%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Parma Calcio 1913Serie ACM34183454%110.100.18149213740.93
2025/26FC MidtjyllandSuperligaCM31729%000.000.11118415620.47
2024/25FC MidtjyllandSuperligaCM18148575%610.420.24130413990.38
2023/24FC MidtjyllandSuperligaRM20169285%530.430.27129714490.48
2022/23FC MidtjyllandSuperligaCM1695048%000.000.09126013680.47
2021/22FC MidtjyllandSuperligaCM4372%000.000.16130714290.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Midtjylland3300001297
2025/26Italy CupParma Calcio 191327300—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueFC Midtjylland7568011540
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Midtjylland5434111407
2024/25Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland19000—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Midtjylland6554001402
2023/24Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland218001—
2022/23Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland218001—
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Midtjylland3171001618
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFC Midtjylland5159001488
2021/22Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland315200—
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueFC Midtjylland122001448

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Olivier Deman
Bundesliga · 2024
24€5.0M€3.5Mfell
Riccardo Saponara
Serie A · 2017
26€11.0M€8.5Mfell
Fabio Depaoli
Serie A · 2020
23€4.0M€2.8Mfell
Jean-Victor Makengo
Ligue 1 · 2023
25€10.0M€2.5Mfell
Emmanuel Badu
Serie A · 2017
27€5.0M€1.5Mfell
Dennis Praet
Serie A · 2017
23€8.5M€24.0Mrose
Andrea Poli
Serie A · 2013
24€8.0M€7.5Mflat
Rolando Mandragora
Serie A · 2020
23€12.0M€10.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
13 Aug 2025MidtjyllandParma€8.1M€7.0M
27 Jun 2022HamKamMidtjyllandFree / loan€300k
31 Mar 2022MidtjyllandHamKamFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2021Midtjylland U19MidtjyllandUnknown€150k
30 Jun 2021FC FredericiaMidtjylland U19Free / loan€150k
26 Jan 2021Midtjylland U19FC FredericiaFree / loan€100k
1 Jul 2019FCM YouthMidtjylland U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.