Grégoire Coudert
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Grégoire Coudert's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.8M-5.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.2th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2191 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 50 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1407
- Opponent strength
- 1461
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.8M – €5.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +23% (IQR -35% to +107%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | GK | 25 | 2191 | 72% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1461 | 1407 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | GK | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1418 | 1472 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | GK | 3 | 181 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1486 | 1504 | 0.87 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1790 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanja Milinković-Savić Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Walter Benítez Ligue 1 · 2018 | 25 | €3.5M | €8.0M | rose |
| Lukasz Skorupski Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €2.5M | €7.0M | rose |
| Ionuț Radu Ligue 1 · 2023 | 26 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Michael Zetterer Bundesliga · 2024 | 29 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Korcan Celikay Super Lig · 2014 | 26 | €1.5M | €750k | fell |
| Costel Pantilimon Premier League · 2015 | 28 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Wayne Hennessey Premier League · 2016 | 29 | €3.5M | €4.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2021 | Amiens SC | Stade Brestois | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Amiens SC B | Amiens SC | Unknown | €150k |
| 13 Aug 2019 | Tours FC | Amiens SC B | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Tours B | Tours FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Apr 2016 | Tours FC U17 | Tours B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | ESA Brive Jgd. | Tours FC U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Rodez AF Jugend | ESA Brive Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.