Lazar Samardžić

The model rates Lazar Samardžić's performance-implied value at EUR 9.6M-25.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.0M-21.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.3M-20.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (1022 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1022 (30% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.35

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.29

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

78 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1588

Opponent strength

1470

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€5.3M – €20.6M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-91 Elo); relative output up 33% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -46% to -3%).

• ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1022 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.