Azzedine Ounahi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Azzedine Ounahi's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-10.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.4M-11.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.0M-12.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 2.02x the positional average in the league (1766 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 23
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 70.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €8.5M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1766 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 70 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1413
- Opponent strength
- 1500
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.0M – €12.5M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+252 Elo); relative output up 80% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -66% to -1%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1766 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Girona FC | Laliga | CM | 24 | 1766 | 52% | 5 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 1500 | 1413 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CM | 19 | 1129 | 48% | 2 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.24 | 1234 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | CM | 21 | 1214 | 40% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1465 | 1534 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | AM | 15 | 1134 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1458 | 1221 | 0.82 |
| 2022/23 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | CM | 7 | 115 | 3% | 1 | 0 | 0.78 | 0.23 | 1447 | 1568 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CM | 32 | 1623 | 47% | 2 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 1445 | 1352 | 0.86 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Morocco | 3 | 225 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Morocco | 3 | 175 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 211 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Marseille | 12 | 628 | 0 | 1 | 1581 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympique Marseille | 2 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 1436 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Munetsi Ligue 1 · 2022 | 26 | €5.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Romain Faivre Ligue 1 · 2024 | 26 | €15.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Kristijan Jakic Bundesliga · 2024 | 27 | €6.5M | €6.0M | flat |
| Alfred Duncan Serie A · 2020 | 27 | €13.5M | €8.5M | fell |
| Ezequiel Schelotto Serie A · 2014 | 25 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Florian Neuhaus Bundesliga · 2024 | 27 | €7.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Mahdi Camara Ligue 1 · 2024 | 26 | €10.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Míchel Herrero Laliga · 2013 | 25 | €4.0M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Marseille | Girona | €6.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Panathinaikos | Marseille | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 4 Sept 2024 | Marseille | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Angers SCO | Marseille | €8.0M | €15.0M |
| 14 Jul 2021 | US Avranches | Angers SCO | €70k | €350k |
| 4 Aug 2020 | R. Strasbourg B | US Avranches | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 18 Jul 2018 | AM Football | R. Strasbourg B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Raja Youth | AM Football | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.