Fotis Ioannidis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Fotis Ioannidis's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-9.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.8M-20.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.3M-18.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.56x the positional average in the league (456 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 60.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €14.3M vs market €16.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 456 (15% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.59
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1656
- Opponent strength
- 1295
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.3M – €18.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 57 pts; changed club; team strength up (+254 Elo); league level up (+113 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -58% to +21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 456 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–130%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 66%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | ST | 13 | 456 | 15% | 3 | 0 | 0.59 | 0.28 | 1295 | 1656 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | ST | 22 | 1681 | 72% | 5 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 1276 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | ST | 20 | 1415 | 60% | 10 | 5 | 0.95 | 0.55 | 1245 | 1453 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | ST | 26 | 1063 | 45% | 5 | 3 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 1234 | 1414 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | ST | 20 | 986 | 42% | 4 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 1251 | 1348 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | ST | 16 | 881 | 38% | 3 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 1263 | 1362 | 0.39 |
| 2018/19 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | ST | 17 | 594 | 22% | 2 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.69 | 1347 | 1114 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | ST | 5 | 67 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.70 | 1305 | 1219 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Sporting CP | 5 | 203 | 0 | 1 | 1612 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 1461 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 1331 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 182 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1532 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1475 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 6 | 435 | 5 | 0 | 1515 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 275 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 6 | 185 | 2 | 2 | 1537 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 201 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1553 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 7 | 413 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 3 | 170 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 4 | 155 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noa Lang Eredivisie · 2024 | 25 | €18.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Franco Cervi Liga Portugal · 2019 | 25 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Jérémy Ménez Ligue 1 · 2014 | 27 | €14.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Amin Younes Eredivisie · 2018 | 25 | €5.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Ayase Ueda Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €8.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Roman Yaremchuk Liga Portugal · 2022 | 27 | €15.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| David Neres Eredivisie · 2020 | 23 | €36.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Fredy Montero Liga Portugal · 2016 | 29 | €7.2M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Panathinaikos | Sporting | €22.0M | €15.0M |
| 10 Aug 2020 | Levadiakos | Panathinaikos | €4.5M | €300k |
| 24 Aug 2017 | Levadiakos U20 | Levadiakos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Oly. Chalkidas | Levadiakos U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.