Giulian Biancone

26 yrs · Centre-back (also RB) · France
Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€2.5M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€1.0M – €3.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.1M – €20.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.1M – €3.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€799k – €19.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.1M – €20.7M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Giulian Biancone's performance-implied value at EUR 4.1M-20.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 73

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average73.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.3 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.9M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationNeutral-6% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
910 (39% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.03
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1550
Opponent strength
1226
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.1M – €3.4M

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 72% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -48% to +102%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 910 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB1291039%000.000.03122615500.43
2024/25Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB1386837%110.210.09124515250.35
2023/24Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB1069130%010.130.06123714900.42
2022/23Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueCB2160%000.000.17178114331.23
2021/22ESTAC TroyesLigue 1RB33229267%120.120.17143413320.86
2020/21Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueRB18155151%100.060.09134212280.55
2020/21AS MonacoLigue 1RB2923%000.000.10133715490.75
2019/20Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueRB25218984%130.160.21139912020.63
2018/19AS MonacoLigue 1RB1903%000.000.10131213960.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios7260001541
2025/26Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios325920—
2024/25Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios429300—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4195101528
2023/24Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios111500—
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueAS Monaco2168001744

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dimitrios Siovas
Super League 1 · 2014
26€3.5M€3.0Mflat
Jozo Simunovic
Scottish Premiership · 2019
25€3.3M€1.5Mfell
Nir Bitton
Scottish Premiership · 2018
27€2.3M€1.2Mfell
Ismaily
Premier Liga · 2015
25€1.8M€3.5Mrose
Tamás Kádár
Premier Liga · 2017
27€2.0M€4.5Mrose
Giannis Michailidis
Super League 1 · 2024
24€1.5M€4.0Mrose
Ousseynou Ba
Super League 1 · 2023
28€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Behrang Safari
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
28€2.0M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Sept 2023Nott'm ForestOlympiacosUnknown€6.0M
3 Jul 2022TroyesNott'm Forest€10.0M€4.0M
12 Aug 2021MonacoTroyes€2.5M€1.3M
30 Jun 2021Cercle BruggeMonacoFree / loan€1.3M
5 Oct 2020MonacoCercle BruggeFree / loan€1.1M
30 Jun 2020Cercle BruggeMonacoFree / loan€1.1M
1 Jul 2019MonacoCercle BruggeFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2018Monaco U19MonacoUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Monaco YouthMonaco U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Giulian Biancone · MoneyballAI