Giannis Michailidis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Michailidis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-5.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 93
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 51.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.9M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1167 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1201
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €5.6M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 61% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -43% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1167 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 15 | 1167 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1201 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 11 | 921 | 39% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1247 | 1378 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 9 | 810 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1158 | 1535 | 0.42 |
| 2021/22 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 18 | 1615 | 69% | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 1226 | 1453 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 12 | 984 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1269 | 1428 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 8 | 750 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 9 | 743 | 0 | 1 | 1508 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1360 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 535 | 0 | 0 | 1527 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 251 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1269 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 364 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1355 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1407 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 183 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1445 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousseynou Ba Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Dimitrios Siovas Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Stanislav Magkeev Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Joan Sastre Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Nicolás Marichal Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €3.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Rasmus Lauritsen Superliga · 2024 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Nino Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Adil Demirbağ Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €2.3M | €1.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAOK U19 | PAOK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.