Dmytro Kryskiv
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dmytro Kryskiv's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-4.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-4.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (747 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 43.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.1M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 747 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1140
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €4.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; relative output down 36% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -40% to +54%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 747 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 13 | 747 | 28% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 1140 | 1420 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 24 | 1614 | 60% | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1166 | 1414 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | CM | 28 | 2108 | 78% | 5 | 6 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 1247 | 1497 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | LM | 18 | 1036 | 38% | 5 | 6 | 0.96 | 0.39 | 1278 | 1546 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier Liga | CM | 16 | 1344 | 83% | 2 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 1278 | 1174 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 674 | 0 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 391 | 0 | 0 | 1624 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 234 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 184 | 1 | 0 | 1587 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1655 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2 | 105 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Augusto Super League 1 · 2021 | 24 | €3.0M | €4.5M | rose |
| Volodymyr Shepelev Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Yegor Nazaryna Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
| Bernard Mensah Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.4M | fell |
| Thomas Murg Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Flávio Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Salih Uçan Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Nicolas Raskin Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 23 | €6.5M | €12.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Shakhtar II | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Metalist 1925 | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €500k |
| 3 Oct 2020 | Shakhtar II | Metalist 1925 | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Oct 2020 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €50k |
| 24 Sept 2020 | Shakhtar II | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.