Nicolas Raskin

25 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Belgium
Rangers FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 31 May 2028
Market value
€12.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€7.3M – €15.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.8M – €18.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.4M – €15.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€12.2M – €11.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€7.3M – €15.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.8M – €18.8M
Projected value (24 months)€5.4M – €15.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Nicolas Raskin's performance-implied value at EUR 2.8M-18.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.3M-15.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.4M-15.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.74x the positional average in the league (2620 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 34

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh75th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €10.7M vs market €12.0M
Expected appreciationLow-21% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2620 (88% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.41
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.21
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
75 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1427
Opponent strength
1180
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.4M – €15.3M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 72% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +4% (IQR -13% to +31%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
10 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–107%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
80%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Rangers FCScottish PremiershipDM31262088%570.410.22118014270.31
2024/25Rangers FCScottish PremiershipDM28219874%160.290.13121514630.34
2023/24Rangers FCScottish PremiershipDM1486129%110.210.11123815010.34
2022/23Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCM17133944%140.340.29131713810.58
2022/23Rangers FCScottish PremiershipDM747616%000.000.04134415270.40
2021/22Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCM29238978%140.190.22134812480.49
2020/21Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCM29234177%140.190.16135913920.55
2019/20Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCM3934%000.000.22155314580.63
2017/18KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueCM170%000.000.11127014920.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueRangers FC8691011496
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingRangers FC6431011471
2025/26Scottish Fa CupRangers FC112000—
2025/26World CupBelgium39701—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueRangers FC12961111562
2024/25Scottish Fa CupRangers FC14500—
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingRangers FC4329001596
2023/24Scottish Fa CupRangers FC525200—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueRangers FC4169001468
2022/23Scottish Fa CupRangers FC325301—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueStandard Liège4248101529
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingStandard Liège1107011472

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Matt O'Riley
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€20.0M€18.0Mflat
Ozan Tufan
Super Lig · 2021
26€11.0M€3.2Mfell
Evander
Superliga · 2022
24€7.0M€8.0Mflat
Volodymyr Brazhko
Premier Liga · 2024
22€5.0M€10.0Mrose
Konstantinos Fortounis
Super League 1 · 2019
27€10.0M€8.0Mfell
Dmitriy Barinov
Premier Liga · 2023
27€8.0M€8.0Mflat
Amir Hadziahmetovic
Super Lig · 2022
25€6.0M€6.5Mflat
Eduard Spertsyan
Premier Liga · 2023
23€12.0M€25.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Jan 2023Standard LiègeRangers€1.5M€7.0M
1 Jul 2019Standard U21Standard LiègeUnknown€300k
23 Jan 2019KAA Gent U21Standard U21€200k€500k
1 Jul 2017Anderlecht Yth.KAA Gent U21Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Standard YthAnderlecht Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Nicolas Raskin · MoneyballAI