
Terem Moffi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Terem Moffi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-4.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.3M-8.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-8.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (729 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 47.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.4M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 729 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 48 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1436
- Opponent strength
- 1432
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.4M – €8.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -58% to -4%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 729 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | ST | 10 | 489 | 16% | 2 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 1432 | 1358 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | ST | 9 | 240 | 8% | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.34 | 1335 | 1594 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | ST | 5 | 53 | 2% | 1 | 0 | 1.70 | 0.52 | 1453 | 1521 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | ST | 30 | 1961 | 64% | 11 | 2 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 1476 | 1511 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | ST | 18 | 1396 | 41% | 12 | 0 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 1457 | 1396 | 0.82 |
| 2022/23 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | ST | 16 | 1334 | 39% | 6 | 3 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 1429 | 1519 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | ST | 37 | 2735 | 80% | 8 | 4 | 0.39 | 0.52 | 1429 | 1335 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | ST | 32 | 2089 | 61% | 14 | 3 | 0.73 | 0.82 | 1443 | 1344 | 0.75 |
| 2020/21 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 2 | 152 | 5% | 1 | 0 | 0.59 | 0.49 | 1317 | 1260 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 7 | 428 | 16% | 4 | 0 | 0.84 | 0.68 | 1385 | 1342 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 4 | 274 | 1 | 0 | 1588 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | OGC Nice | 2 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 1638 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 3 | 126 | 1 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Riteriai | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1376 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takumi Minamino Ligue 1 · 2023 | 28 | €6.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Bertrand Traoré Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Lacina Traore Ligue 1 · 2016 | 26 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Marko Pjaca Serie A · 2019 | 24 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Arbër Zeneli Ligue 1 · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Nemanja Tomic Super Lig · 2014 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Rachid Ghezzal Serie A · 2020 | 28 | €5.5M | €8.5M | rose |
| Robert Beric Ligue 1 · 2016 | 25 | €5.5M | €4.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Porto | Nice | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Nice | Porto | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | FC Lorient | Nice | €22.5M | €20.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Nice | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | FC Lorient | Nice | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Oct 2020 | KV Kortrijk | FC Lorient | €8.0M | €3.0M |
| 8 Jan 2020 | Riteriai | KV Kortrijk | €1.4M | €350k |
| 1 Feb 2019 | Without Club | Riteriai | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Kauno Zalgiris | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Buckswood FA | Kauno Zalgiris | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.