
Yannick Leliendal
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yannick Leliendal's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 93
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €593k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2746 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1101
- Opponent strength
- 1330
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €689k – €2.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -34% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | LB | 32 | 2746 | 90% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 1330 | 1101 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LB | 8 | 496 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1403 | 1354 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 3 | 186 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Rahman Weiss Super League 1 · 2021 | 23 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Yahya Nadrani Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €650k | €350k | fell |
| Radinio Balker Eredivisie · 2023 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Paul Hanlon Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 24 | €750k | €550k | fell |
| Shawn Adewoye Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €1.3M | €900k | fell |
| Lewis Mayo Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 23 | €350k | €850k | rose |
| Okan Erdoğan Super Lig · 2024 | 26 | €650k | €650k | flat |
| Pepe Castaño Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €700k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2024 | Utrecht U21 | FC Volendam | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | VVV-Venlo | Utrecht U21 | Free / loan | €125k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | TOP Oss | VVV-Venlo | Free / loan | €125k |
| 26 Jan 2022 | VVV-Venlo | TOP Oss | Free / loan | €50k |
| 16 Jul 2021 | KRC Genk U21 | VVV-Venlo | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | KRC Genk U18 | KRC Genk U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | KRC Genk U17 | KRC Genk U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.