Tochi Chukwuani

23 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Denmark
Sportklub Puntigamer Sturm Graz · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€5.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€2.6M – €7.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.6M – €5.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.7M – €8.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.6M – €2.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.6M – €7.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €5.1M
Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €8.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tochi Chukwuani's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-5.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.6M-7.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-8.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (776 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage39.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €4.6M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-9% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
776 (26% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.23
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
40 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 24)
Team strength (Elo)
1427
Opponent strength
1212
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.7M – €8.0M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -15% to +1%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 776 league minutes last season.
  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
10 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–107%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
80%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Rangers FCScottish PremiershipDM1077626%200.230.11121214270.31
2023/24Lyngby BoldklubSuperligaCM21168385%320.270.35129911790.48
2022/23Lyngby BoldklubSuperligaCM1469935%000.000.19130411730.47
2020/21FC NordsjaellandSuperligaCM1835018%100.260.19130113080.43
2019/20FC NordsjaellandSuperligaCM3191%000.000.20127913290.41

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueSportklub Puntigamer Sturm Graz5400001431
2025/26Scottish Fa CupRangers FC319010—
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingSportklub Puntigamer Sturm Graz2180001483
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueSportklub Puntigamer Sturm Graz7607011630
2023/24Oddset PokalenLyngby Boldklub438000—
2020/21Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland16100—
2019/20Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland215900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Paulo Bernardo
Scottish Premiership · 2024
22€3.5M€3.5Mflat
David Turnbull
Scottish Premiership · 2024
25€3.8M€3.8Mflat
Dorukhan Toköz
Super Lig · 2021
25€4.7M€5.0Mflat
Can Bozdogan
Super Lig · 2022
21€4.3M€4.5Mflat
Abdülkadir Ömür
Super Lig · 2021
22€8.5M€8.0Mflat
Todd Cantwell
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€9.0M€8.5Mflat
Okechukwu Azubuike
Super Lig · 2020
23€1.6M€1.0Mfell
Maksim Mukhin
Premier Liga · 2024
23€2.8M€1.2Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Jan 2026Sturm GrazRangers€4.6M€4.0M
1 Jul 2024Lyngby BKSturm Graz€640k€1.5M
31 Aug 2022NordsjaellandLyngby BKFree / loan€300k
1 Aug 2020Nordsjaell. U19NordsjaellandUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2018FCN YouthNordsjaell. U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.