Vladislav Torop
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vladislav Torop's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-4.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 66
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.6M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 22% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1019 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 40 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1436
- Opponent strength
- 1303
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 22%
- Resale range (24m)
- €861k – €4.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +41% (IQR -39% to +269%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1019 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 63 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 61%–143%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 12 | 1019 | 38% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1303 | 1436 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 2 | 180 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1206 | 1478 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 5 | 450 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1335 | 1403 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1180 | 1447 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1448 | 1363 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 11 | 990 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 11 | 936 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 2 | 163 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kaminski Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 22 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Guillaume Hubert Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Matous Trmal Liga Portugal · 2022 | 24 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
| Stanislav Kritsyuk Liga Portugal · 2015 | 25 | €1.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Marco Bizot Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 25 | €1.2M | €4.0M | rose |
| Jay Gorter Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Justin Bijlow Eredivisie · 2019 | 21 | €3.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Uğurcan Çakır Super Lig · 2019 | 23 | €1.5M | €19.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2020 | CSKA Moscow II | CSKA Moscow | Unknown | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | CSKA U17 | CSKA Moscow II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.