Xavi Simons
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Xavi Simons's performance-implied value at EUR 24.0M-51.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 24.3M-53.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 18.7M-42.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (1847 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €38.5M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1847 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.34
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1565
- Opponent strength
- 1600
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €18.7M – €42.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; league level up (+120 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -36% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | AM | 28 | 1757 | 51% | 2 | 5 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 1600 | 1564 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | AM | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 1767 | 1568 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | AM | 25 | 2157 | 70% | 10 | 7 | 0.71 | 0.45 | 1488 | 1533 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | LW | 32 | 2676 | 87% | 8 | 13 | 0.71 | 0.36 | 1498 | 1692 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | AM | 34 | 2821 | 92% | 19 | 9 | 0.89 | 0.43 | 1335 | 1649 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | CM | 6 | 128 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1484 | 1714 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | CM | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1414 | 1727 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 10 | 571 | 3 | 1 | 1572 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 1 | 90 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 5 | 337 | 0 | 0 | 1679 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 3 | 269 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 8 | 599 | 2 | 2 | 1730 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 2 | 115 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | RB Leipzig | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1817 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 546 | 1 | 1 | 1586 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 356 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2022/23 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1749 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Pedraza Laliga · 2019 | 23 | €22.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Amadou Onana Premier League · 2024 | 23 | €50.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Lucas Torreira Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €36.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| André Gomes Laliga · 2016 | 23 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Jesper Lindstrøm Bundesliga · 2023 | 23 | €28.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Tiemoué Bakayoko Premier League · 2018 | 24 | €40.0M | €25.5M | fell |
| James Maddison Premier League · 2021 | 25 | €55.0M | €60.0M | flat |
| Vitaly Janelt Premier League · 2023 | 25 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | Leipzig | Tottenham | €65.0M | €70.0M |
| 30 Jan 2025 | PSG | Leipzig | €50.0M | €80.0M |
| 29 Jan 2025 | Leipzig | PSG | Free / loan | €80.0M |
| 19 Jul 2023 | PSG | Leipzig | Free / loan | €40.0M |
| 18 Jul 2023 | PSV | PSG | €4.0M | €40.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | PSG | PSV | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Paris SG U19 | PSG | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 23 Jul 2019 | Barça U16 | Paris SG U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Tháder Youth | Barça Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.