Ringo Meerveld
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ringo Meerveld's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.1M-6.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-8.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (2444 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.9M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2444 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1284
- Opponent strength
- 1306
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.8M – €8.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 15 pts; changed club; team strength up (+165 Elo); role change LW -> AM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +63% (IQR -36% to +115%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | AM | 30 | 2444 | 80% | 6 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 1306 | 1284 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | LW | 33 | 2908 | 95% | 4 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.31 | 1309 | 1118 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | AM | 13 | 534 | 17% | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 1317 | 1237 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 245 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 102 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Kofod Andersen Superliga · 2021 | 22 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Hany Mukhtar Superliga · 2019 | 24 | €3.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Joshua Kitolano Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €4.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Emre Kılınç Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Vini Souza Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 23 | €4.5M | €12.0M | rose |
| André Simões Super League 1 · 2016 | 27 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Sofiane Hanni Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 25 | €2.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Alan Liga Portugal · 2024 | 24 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2025 | Willem II | Heerenveen | €450k | €3.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | FC Den Bosch | Willem II | €750k | €325k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Den Bosch U17 | FC Den Bosch | Unknown | €50k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.