Christos Zafeiris
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christos Zafeiris's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.4M-16.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.3M-17.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.38x the positional average in the league (925 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 46
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €10.3M vs market €11.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 925 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 21)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1210
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.3M – €17.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -22% to +58%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 925 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CM | 11 | 925 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1210 | 1461 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | SK Slavia Prague | 6 | 449 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1527 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 124 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | SK Slavia Prague | 8 | 586 | 0 | 1 | 1521 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SK Slavia Prague | 4 | 295 | 1 | 1 | 1588 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivert Mannsverk Eredivisie · 2024 | 22 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Kristijan Belic Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Berat Özdemir Super Lig · 2022 | 24 | €4.7M | €6.0M | rose |
| Mario Lemina Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €10.5M | €9.0M | flat |
| Nail Umyarov Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €2.5M | €7.5M | rose |
| Elisha Owusu Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Marcos Antônio Premier Liga · 2022 | 22 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Josh Cullen Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 25 | €3.0M | €13.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Slavia Praha | PAOK | Free / loan | €11.0M |
| 27 Aug 2025 | PAOK | Slavia Praha | Free / loan | €11.0M |
| 26 Aug 2025 | Slavia Praha | PAOK | €10.5M | €11.0M |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Haugesund | Slavia Praha | €2.6M | €1.5M |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Grorud | Haugesund | Free / loan | €100k |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Haugesund | Grorud | Free / loan | €100k |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Grorud | Haugesund | Free / loan | €100k |
| 8 Jan 2020 | Vålerenga Yth. | Grorud | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.