Jan Schöppner
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jan Schöppner's performance-implied value at EUR 2.8M-9.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.29x the positional average in the league (2260 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.1M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2260 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 65 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1323
- Opponent strength
- 1498
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €3.8M
Trajectory drivers: role change DM -> CM; relative output down 29% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -60% to -30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | CM | 31 | 2260 | 74% | 3 | 3 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 1498 | 1323 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | DM | 33 | 2688 | 88% | 4 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 1501 | 1353 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | CM | 26 | 2000 | 65% | 2 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 1518 | 1424 | 1.01 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1396 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Wass Ligue 1 · 2015 | 26 | €5.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Gerard Gumbau Laliga · 2024 | 30 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Javi Muñoz Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Thomas Mangani Ligue 1 · 2013 | 26 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Thomas Monconduit Ligue 1 · 2018 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Fabien Camus Ligue 1 · 2013 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Lucas Robertone Laliga · 2024 | 27 | €7.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Haitam Aleesami Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €1.8M | €1.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2020 | SC Verl | Heidenheim | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | SC Verl U19 | SC Verl | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | SC Verl U17 | SC Verl U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | SC Verl Jgd. | SC Verl U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.