Kresimir Krizmanic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kresimir Krizmanic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 76
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 11.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €849k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2123 (91% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 11 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1248
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €630k – €1.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -32% to -5%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | CB | 24 | 2123 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1248 | 1225 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 6 | 570 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nihad Mujakic Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €1.4M | €1.0M | fell |
| Sam Adekugbe Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Tobias Salquist Superliga · 2022 | 27 | €700k | €1.0M | rose |
| Rens van Eijden Eredivisie · 2013 | 25 | €900k | €500k | fell |
| Sergiy Chobotenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 24 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Mykhaylo Shershen Premier Liga · 2022 | 27 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Mark Reynolds Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 26 | €750k | €700k | flat |
| Antons Kurakins Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2025 | HNK Gorica | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 5 Jan 2019 | HNK Gorica U19 | HNK Gorica | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | HNK Gorica U17 | HNK Gorica U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | HNK Gorica Jgd | HNK Gorica U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 14 Aug 2012 | Dragovoljac Jgd | HNK Gorica Jgd | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.