Saúl Coco
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Saúl Coco's performance-implied value at EUR 3.7M-11.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.7M-9.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.6M-8.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.9M vs market €7.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3090 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1419
- Opponent strength
- 1511
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.6M – €8.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -45% to +67%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 35 | 3090 | 90% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1511 | 1419 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 32 | 2848 | 83% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1496 | 1458 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | CB | 30 | 2293 | 67% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1515 | 1344 | 1.00 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 264 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 177 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Paletta Serie A · 2013 | 27 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Davide Astori Serie A · 2014 | 27 | €10.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Kamil Glik Serie A · 2014 | 26 | €6.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Ben Mee Premier League · 2017 | 28 | €6.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Emmanuel Agbadou Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €9.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Alejandro Catena Laliga · 2023 | 29 | €8.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Sébastien Corchia Ligue 1 · 2017 | 27 | €7.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2024 | UD Las Palmas | Torino | €8.2M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Las Palmas Atl. | UD Las Palmas | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | UD Las Palmas C | Las Palmas Atl. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 18 Jul 2019 | RCD Espanyol B | UD Las Palmas C | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2019 | UA Horta | RCD Espanyol B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Aug 2018 | RCD Espanyol B | UA Horta | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Espanyol U19 | RCD Espanyol B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Marítima U19 | Espanyol U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Las Palmas Yth. | Marítima U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Marítima U19 | Las Palmas Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.