Woyo Coulibaly
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Woyo Coulibaly's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 67
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 41.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1049 (31% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1406
- Opponent strength
- 1507
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €862k – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+61 Elo); relative output down 62% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -75% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1049 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RB | 20 | 1049 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1507 | 1405 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | RB | 14 | 1085 | 32% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 1507 | 1342 | 0.99 |
| 2024/25 | Leicester City | Premier League | RB | 4 | 107 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1662 | 1367 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Mali | 3 | 206 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuseppe Pezzella Serie A · 2024 | 27 | €2.2M | €2.0M | flat |
| Davide Brivio Serie A · 2016 | 28 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Carlão Ligue 1 · 2013 | 27 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Andre Hoffmann Bundesliga · 2019 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Lindsay Rose Ligue 1 · 2017 | 25 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Fernando Calero Laliga · 2022 | 27 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Gaëtan Bussmann Bundesliga · 2017 | 26 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
| Kevin Bonifazi Serie A · 2023 | 27 | €2.8M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Sassuolo | Leicester | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Leicester | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Parma | Leicester | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Le Havre AC | Parma | €1.7M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Le Havre B | Le Havre AC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Le Havre U19 | Le Havre B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Le Havre U17 | Le Havre U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Le Havre Youth | Le Havre U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Entente SSG Jgd | Le Havre Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.