Giuseppe Pezzella
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giuseppe Pezzella's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-5.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (2591 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2591 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 59 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1299
- Opponent strength
- 1518
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €852k – €2.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output down 23% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -61% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Cremonese | Serie A | LM | 31 | 2591 | 76% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.15 | 1518 | 1299 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | FC Empoli | Serie A | LM | 35 | 2888 | 84% | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1502 | 1344 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | FC Empoli | Serie A | LB | 19 | 1085 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1552 | 1388 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | US Lecce | Serie A | LB | 16 | 919 | 27% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 1476 | 1323 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | LM | 21 | 1068 | 31% | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 1485 | 1566 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | LB | 24 | 1835 | 54% | 1 | 4 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 1464 | 1252 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | LB | 22 | 948 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1451 | 1373 | 0.82 |
| 2019/20 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 1 | 81 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 1538 | 1388 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 4 | 185 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1484 | 1355 | 0.78 |
| 2018/19 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | LM | 5 | 110 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1572 | 1322 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 15 | 904 | 26% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 1455 | 1339 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Palermo FC | Serie A | LB | 10 | 806 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1492 | 1276 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Palermo FC | Serie A | LB | 9 | 594 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1522 | 1391 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Cremonese | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | FC Empoli | 4 | 191 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | FC Empoli | 1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1547 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 3 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1586 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 76 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 233 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Palermo FC | 1 | 91 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Italy Cup | Palermo FC | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent Abergel Ligue 1 · 2022 | 29 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Pierrick Valdivia Ligue 1 · 2015 | 27 | €1.8M | €750k | fell |
| Francesco Magnanelli Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Konstantin Vassiljev Premier Liga · 2013 | 29 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Omar Mascarell Laliga · 2023 | 30 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Lassana Coulibaly Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €3.5M | €2.2M | fell |
| Neto Borges Ligue 1 · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Charles Pickel Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €3.8M | €2.4M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | FC Empoli | Cremonese | €2.0M | €2.5M |
| 31 Jul 2023 | Parma | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Lecce | Parma | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 26 Aug 2022 | Parma | Lecce | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Atalanta | Parma | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 27 Jul 2021 | Parma | Atalanta | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Udinese | Parma | €5.8M | €3.5M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Parma | Udinese | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 27 Aug 2019 | Udinese | Parma | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Genoa | Udinese | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 19 Jan 2019 | Udinese | Genoa | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | US Palermo | Udinese | €4.5M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Palermo U19 | US Palermo | Unknown | €225k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Monteruscello | Palermo U19 | €67k | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2014 | US Palermo Yout | Monteruscello | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2013 | Monteruscello | US Palermo Yout | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.