Patrick Brouwer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Patrick Brouwer's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.41x the positional average in the league (2298 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 86
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €539k vs market €750k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2298 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.51
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.57
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1216
- Opponent strength
- 1312
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €480k – €1.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -28% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Telstar | Eredivisie | AM | 30 | 2298 | 75% | 7 | 6 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 1312 | 1215 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1454 | 1394 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Telstar | 3 | 182 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talles Brener Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Franco Mazurek Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Ali Crawford Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 26 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Mustafa Amini Superliga · 2019 | 26 | €700k | €200k | fell |
| Abdul-Aziz Tetteh Super League 1 · 2015 | 25 | €600k | €800k | rose |
| Odysseus Velanas Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €750k | €550k | fell |
| Peter Haring Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 26 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Martin Kramaric Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €800k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Quick Boys | Telstar | €200k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2024 | Sparta R. | Quick Boys | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Emmen | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €250k |
| 22 Jul 2023 | Sparta R. | FC Emmen | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Sparta U21 | Sparta R. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Sparta U19 | Sparta U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sparta R. U17 | Sparta U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Alphense B. Jgd | Sparta R. U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.