Zico Buurmeester
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Zico Buurmeester's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.74x the positional average in the league (1531 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 84
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €868k vs market €1.3M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1531 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1190
- Opponent strength
- 1311
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €588k – €2.1M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-276 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -2% to +57%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1531 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CM | 22 | 1499 | 49% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 1311 | 1186 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 1 | 32 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1078 | 1393 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CM | 27 | 1186 | 39% | 4 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.18 | 1262 | 1466 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | DM | 17 | 1362 | 45% | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 1377 | 1189 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | AM | 7 | 57 | 2% | 1 | 0 | 1.58 | 0.27 | 1281 | 1530 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 1340 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 463 | 0 | 0 | 1582 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 124 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mithat Pala Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €1.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Recep Niyaz Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
| Aguibou Camara Super League 1 · 2024 | 23 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Loreintz Rosier Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €900k | €900k | flat |
| Idrissa Doumbia Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €1.7M | €1.7M | flat |
| Dmitriy Rybchinskiy Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Atakan Çankaya Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €1.4M | €1.3M | flat |
| Olivier Kemen Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €1.4M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | PEC Zwolle | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | PEC Zwolle | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €700k |
| 18 Jul 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | AZ Alkmaar | Unknown | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | AZ U19 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | AZ U17 | AZ U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | AZ Alkmaar Yth. | AZ U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.