Eren Elmalı

The model rates Eren Elmalı's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-5.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-5.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1524 (50% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.18

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.12

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

55 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.40 (rank 18)

Team strength (Elo)

1501

Opponent strength

1241

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€2.5M – €5.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; changed club; team strength up (+103 Elo); relative output up 33% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -54% to -7%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1524 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

50 (DEF)

Relative output kept

68%–191%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

54%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.