
Lazaros Rota
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lazaros Rota's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-6.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 68.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.5M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2057 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1512
- Opponent strength
- 1220
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €4.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -50% to -23%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RB | 23 | 2057 | 88% | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1220 | 1512 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RB | 20 | 1569 | 67% | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 1287 | 1450 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RB | 14 | 1169 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 1302 | 1472 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RB | 22 | 1790 | 76% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1241 | 1424 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RB | 14 | 938 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1269 | 1349 | 0.39 |
| 2021/22 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | RB | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1220 | 1249 | 0.60 |
| 2019/20 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | RB | 5 | 413 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1332 | 1238 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 6 | 570 | 0 | 0 | 1450 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 5 | 377 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 1358 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 203 | 0 | 0 | 1562 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 5 | 232 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 359 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Varela Super League 1 · 2018 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Tomasz Kędziora Premier Liga · 2021 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Emilio Izaguirre Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 28 | €4.3M | €3.0M | fell |
| Connor Goldson Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 32 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Robin Pröpper Eredivisie · 2024 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Samet Akaydin Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €4.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Greg Taylor Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €7.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Denis Vavro Superliga · 2024 | 28 | €4.0M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2021 | Fortuna Sittard | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €550k |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Michalovce | Fortuna Sittard | €200k | €300k |
| 10 Jul 2018 | Slavoj Trebisov | Michalovce | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 25 Jan 2018 | Without Club | Slavoj Trebisov | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Iraklis | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Iraklis U20 | Iraklis | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.