Lazaros Rota

29 yrs · Right-back · Greece
Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€4.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.6M – €4.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.0M – €6.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.6M – €4.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.6M – €4.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €6.0M
Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €4.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Lazaros Rota's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-6.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 53

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average68.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €2.5M vs market €4.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-42% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2057 (88% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.22
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.12
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
69 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1512
Opponent strength
1220
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.6M – €4.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -50% to -23%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1RB23205788%050.220.12122015120.43
2024/25Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1RB20156967%040.230.12128714500.35
2023/24Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1RB14116950%200.150.14130214720.42
2022/23Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1RB22179076%010.050.06124114240.37
2021/22Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1RB1493840%010.100.11126913490.39
2021/22Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieRB21806%000.000.10122012490.60
2019/20Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieRB541318%000.000.09133212380.62

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos6570001450
2025/26Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos217000—
2024/25Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos537700—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos4279001358
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos3203001562
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos2170001559
2023/24Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos17300—
2022/23Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos523201—
2021/22Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos435900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Fernando Varela
Super League 1 · 2018
31€3.0M€1.6Mfell
Tomasz Kędziora
Premier Liga · 2021
27€5.0M€3.0Mfell
Emilio Izaguirre
Scottish Premiership · 2014
28€4.3M€3.0Mfell
Connor Goldson
Scottish Premiership · 2024
32€5.0M€5.0Mflat
Robin Pröpper
Eredivisie · 2024
31€3.0M€1.2Mfell
Samet Akaydin
Super Lig · 2023
29€4.2M€1.5Mfell
Greg Taylor
Scottish Premiership · 2024
27€7.5M€4.0Mfell
Denis Vavro
Superliga · 2024
28€4.0M€5.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
2 Sept 2021Fortuna SittardAEK AthensFree / loan€550k
31 Jan 2020MichalovceFortuna Sittard€200k€300k
10 Jul 2018Slavoj TrebisovMichalovceFree / loanData unavailable
25 Jan 2018Without ClubSlavoj TrebisovUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017IraklisWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Iraklis U20IraklisUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.