Ostap Prytula
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ostap Prytula's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.59x the positional average in the league (2315 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 85
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €351k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2315 (86% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1039
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €296k – €765k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 49 pts; team strength down (-160 Elo); relative output down 24% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -25% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 29 | 2315 | 86% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 1179 | 1039 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 20 | 1002 | 37% | 2 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 1205 | 1199 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 17 | 625 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 1280 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 23 | 769 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1333 | 1218 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 12 | 543 | 35% | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.53 | 1305 | 1235 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 16 | 600 | 26% | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 1340 | 1231 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | AM | 4 | 351 | 18% | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 1273 | 1195 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 3 | 212 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksym Grysyo Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Vitaliy Boyko Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Ibrahim Kane Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Taras Dmytruk Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Yegor Prokopenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Soner Dikmen Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €550k | €2.6M | rose |
| Igor Kyryukhantsev Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Jonas Gemmer Superliga · 2024 | 28 | €450k | €450k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sept 2020 | Karpaty | Rukh Lviv | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Karpaty II | Karpaty Lviv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Karpaty U19 | Karpaty II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Karpaty U17 | Karpaty U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.