
Danil Skorko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Danil Skorko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 94
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 4.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €235k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1587 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1068
- Opponent strength
- 1150
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €270k – €813k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -3% to +13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1587 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 18 | 1587 | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1150 | 1068 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 12 | 425 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 1122 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 23 | 1192 | 44% | 4 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 1255 | 1218 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 11 | 611 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1370 | 1284 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | RB | 8 | 416 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1348 | 1156 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1344 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 2 | 171 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gucek Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Jamie Brandon Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €225k | €250k | flat |
| Theocharis Iliadis Super League 1 · 2021 | 25 | €250k | €300k | rose |
| Rocky Bushiri Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €400k | €1.0M | rose |
| Adam Tzanetopoulos Super League 1 · 2021 | 26 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Christos Sielis Super League 1 · 2023 | 23 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Dmytro Kapinus Premier Liga · 2024 | 21 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Konstantinos Provydakis Super League 1 · 2022 | 26 | €250k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2022 | Zorya Lugansk | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €200k |
| 13 Jan 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Chornomorets | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €200k |
| 21 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv | Chornomorets | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2018 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.