Danil Skorko

24 yrs · Right-back · Ukraine
FC Oleksandriya · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 May 2027
Market value
€600k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€176k – €637k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€345k – €637k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€270k – €813k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€292k – €461k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€176k – €637k
Model value (performance-implied)€345k – €637k
Projected value (24 months)€270k – €813k
Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Danil Skorko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 94

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average4.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €235k vs market €600k
Expected appreciationLow-12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €600k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1587 (59% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
5 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1068
Opponent strength
1150
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€270k – €813k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -3% to +13%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1587 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRB18158759%000.000.05115010680.25
2024/25FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRB1242516%010.210.13112213090.28
2023/24FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRB23119244%410.380.29125512180.34
2022/23FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRB1161123%000.000.09137012840.38
2021/22Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaRB841626%000.000.10134811560.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya2180001344
2025/26Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya19000—
2024/25Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya19010—
2023/24Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya221000—
2021/22Ukrainian CupChornomorets Odesa217101—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Luka Gucek
Premier Liga · 2024
25€500k€300kfell
Jamie Brandon
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€225k€250kflat
Theocharis Iliadis
Super League 1 · 2021
25€250k€300krose
Rocky Bushiri
Scottish Premiership · 2024
25€400k€1.0Mrose
Adam Tzanetopoulos
Super League 1 · 2021
26€250k€250kflat
Christos Sielis
Super League 1 · 2023
23€800k€700kflat
Dmytro Kapinus
Premier Liga · 2024
21€400k€400kflat
Konstantinos Provydakis
Super League 1 · 2022
26€250k€250kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
15 Aug 2022Zorya LuganskFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€200k
13 Jan 2022Dynamo KyivZorya LuganskFree / loan€200k
31 Dec 2021ChornomoretsDynamo KyivFree / loan€200k
21 Jul 2021Dynamo KyivChornomoretsFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2021Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2019Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Sept 2018Dynamo Kyiv U17Dynamo Kyiv U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Danil Skorko · MoneyballAI