Kostyantyn Vivcharenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kostyantyn Vivcharenko's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 52
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 40.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1642 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 40 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1324
- Opponent strength
- 1168
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €3.9M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-82 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +4% (IQR -10% to +33%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1642 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 20 | 1642 | 61% | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 1168 | 1324 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 17 | 1295 | 48% | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 1185 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 15 | 1071 | 40% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 1270 | 1458 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 22 | 1335 | 49% | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 1295 | 1433 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 257 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1347 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1514 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 409 | 0 | 0 | 1534 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 287 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 215 | 0 | 0 | 1499 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 174 | 1 | 1 | 1528 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clément Michelin Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €1.8M | €1.2M | fell |
| Fatih Aksoy Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €2.0M | €3.2M | rose |
| Vladyslav Dubinchak Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Danylo Beskorovaynyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Gerasimos Mitoglou Super League 1 · 2022 | 23 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Bradley Mazikou Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €1.2M | €1.5M | rose |
| Tayyip Talha Sanuç Super Lig · 2022 | 23 | €2.8M | €3.0M | flat |
| Attila Szalai Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €7.0M | €14.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.