Martín Satriano

25 yrs · Striker · Uruguay
Getafe CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€7.0M – €15.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.6M – €13.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.1M – €15.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€11.3M – €6.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€7.0M – €15.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €13.3M
Projected value (24 months)€5.1M – €15.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Martín Satriano's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-13.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.0M-15.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.1M-15.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (2301 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 40

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average69.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €10.9M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral+1% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2301 (67% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.39
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.48
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
69 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1478
Opponent strength
1495
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.1M – €15.9M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -0% (IQR -58% to +74%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Getafe CFLaligaST18160747%610.390.48149514460.95
2025/26Olympique LyonLigue 1ST1169423%210.390.29138115540.88
2024/25RC LensLigue 1ST7813%000.000.50152214840.88
2023/24Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1ST33186961%440.390.43147715040.87
2022/23FC EmpoliSerie AST31170850%210.160.38147813880.94
2021/22Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1ST1593927%400.380.51141813690.86
2021/22Inter MilanSerie AST4341%000.000.24138617310.89

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueOlympique Lyon6510101442
2022/23Italy CupFC Empoli16400—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Silas
Bundesliga · 2023
25€8.0M€7.0Mflat
Gaëtan Laborde
Ligue 1 · 2017
23€5.0M€10.0Mrose
Lorenzo Lucca
Serie A · 2024
24€12.0M€20.0Mrose
Carles Pérez
Laliga · 2023
25€5.0M€2.0Mfell
Fran Pérez
Laliga · 2024
22€8.0M€2.5Mfell
Steffen Tigges
Bundesliga · 2023
25€3.5M€1.5Mfell
Erik Lamela
Premier League · 2015
23€22.0M€25.0Mflat
Gökhan Töre
Super Lig · 2014
22€5.0M€15.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026LyonGetafe€6.5M€10.0M
30 Jun 2026GetafeLyonFree / loan€10.0M
17 Jan 2026LyonGetafeFree / loan€6.0M
16 Jan 2026LensLyon€5.0M€6.0M
15 Jan 2026LyonLensFree / loan€6.0M
1 Sept 2025LensLyonFree / loan€5.0M
1 Jul 2025InterLens€4.8M€5.0M
30 Jun 2025LensInterFree / loan€5.0M
23 Aug 2024InterLensFree / loan€7.0M
30 Jun 2024Stade BrestoisInterFree / loan€7.0M
14 Jul 2023InterStade BrestoisFree / loan€7.0M
30 Jun 2023FC EmpoliInterFree / loan€7.0M
4 Jul 2022InterFC EmpoliFree / loan€7.0M
30 Jun 2022Stade BrestoisInterFree / loan€7.0M
17 Jan 2022InterStade BrestoisFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2021Inter U19InterUnknown€1.0M
31 Jan 2020NacionalInter U19€2.4MData unavailable
1 Jan 2020Nacional U19NacionalUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Martín Satriano · MoneyballAI