El Bilal Touré

25 yrs · Left winger (also ST) · Mali
Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€13.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€7.5M – €15.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.6M – €5.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€4.9M – €17.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€13.6M – -€2.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€7.5M – €15.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €5.0M
Projected value (24 months)€4.9M – €17.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€13.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates El Bilal Touré's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-5.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.5M-15.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.9M-17.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (1648 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 22

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage44.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €10.1M vs market €13.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-39% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1648 (54% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.55
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.47
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
45 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1350
Opponent strength
1267
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€4.9M – €17.4M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -47% to +12%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1648 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Beşiktaş Jimnastik KulübüSuper LigLW22164854%550.550.47126713500.40
2024/25VfB StuttgartBundesligaST1235011%210.770.44152915310.94
2023/24Atalanta BCSerie AST1138711%210.700.42144117090.98
2022/23UD AlmeríaLaligaST21127337%720.640.85151213710.98
2022/23Stade ReimsLigue 1ST3913%000.000.58151214250.82
2021/22Stade ReimsLigue 1ST21120035%240.450.51140914170.86
2020/21Stade ReimsLigue 1ST33123636%410.360.45145313730.75
2019/20Stade ReimsLigue 1ST745718%300.590.54141314510.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsMali412800—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueVfB Stuttgart4136101719
2024/25Dfb PokalVfB Stuttgart1100—
2023/24Italy CupAtalanta BC25700—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAtalanta BC434101661
2022/23Copa Del ReyUD Almería13600—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingStade Reims2130001469

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ebrima Colley
Super Lig · 2023
23€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Jackson Muleka
Super Lig · 2022
23€5.0M€4.0Mfell
Wilson Isidor
Premier Liga · 2023
23€6.0M€12.0Mrose
Doğukan Sinik
Super Lig · 2022
23€4.0M€2.0Mfell
Maximilian Philipp
Premier Liga · 2020
26€12.0M€4.5Mfell
Anthony Knockaert
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
25€3.5M€8.0Mrose
Geoffrey Mujangi Bia
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
25€3.5M€3.3Mflat
Henry Onyekuru
Super Lig · 2023
26€5.5M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026BesiktasAtalantaFree / loan€13.0M
26 Aug 2025AtalantaBesiktasFree / loan€15.0M
30 Jun 2025StuttgartAtalantaFree / loan€15.0M
23 Aug 2024AtalantaStuttgartFree / loan€20.0M
29 Jul 2023UD AlmeríaAtalanta€30.2M€12.0M
1 Sept 2022Stade ReimsUD Almería€8.0M€6.5M
3 Jan 2020AFEStade ReimsUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2016Ivoire AcademieAFEUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.