Pierre Landry Kaboré

25 yrs · Striker · Burkina Faso
Heart of Midlothian FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: left · Height: 188 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 May 2028
Market value
€300k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€100k – €493k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€347k – €2.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€238k – €480k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€146k – €2.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€100k – €493k
Model value (performance-implied)€347k – €2.6M
Projected value (24 months)€238k – €480k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Pierre Landry Kaboré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-2.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.87x the positional average in the league (1013 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 81

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average26.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €269k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationHigh+25% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €300k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1013 (34% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.62
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.44
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
27 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1332
Opponent strength
1195
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€238k – €480k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -4% (IQR -21% to +12%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1013 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
12 (ATT)
Relative output kept
75%–114%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
67%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Heart of Midlothian FCScottish PremiershipST20101334%520.620.44119513320.31

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Scottish Fa CupHeart of Midlothian FC15100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Vasyl Runich
Premier Liga · 2024
24€500k€400kfell
Fabricio Brener
Super League 1 · 2022
24€250k€100kfell
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Premier Liga · 2024
24€700k€2.5Mrose
Denys Ustymenko
Premier Liga · 2023
24€300k€300kflat
Uche Ikpeazu
Scottish Premiership · 2019
24€400k€300kfell
Daniel Sosah
Premier Liga · 2024
26€500k€800krose
Yassin Fortuné
Premier Liga · 2024
25€400k€400kflat
Brian Graham
Scottish Premiership · 2014
27€300k€275kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
6 Aug 2025JK Trans NarvaHeart of Midl.€233k€175k
1 Jan 2024SOL FC d'AboboJK Trans NarvaUnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2022SonabelSOL FC d'AboboUnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2021SalitasSonabelUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020ASF BoboSalitasUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Pierre Landry Kaboré · MoneyballAI