Gue-sung Cho
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gue-sung Cho's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-5.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-2.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.52x the positional average in the league (766 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 42.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 766 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.26
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1562
- Opponent strength
- 1243
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €941k – €3.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -65% to +59%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 766 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | ST | 17 | 766 | 39% | 3 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 1243 | 1562 | 0.47 |
| 2023/24 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | ST | 21 | 1664 | 84% | 10 | 2 | 0.65 | 0.53 | 1290 | 1449 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 9 | 629 | 2 | 0 | 1462 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 376 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | South Korea | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 429 | 1 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 110 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Samatta Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Volkan Sen Super Lig · 2017 | 30 | €3.3M | €150k | fell |
| Franco Jara Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €1.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Jordan Larsson Superliga · 2024 | 27 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Leigh Griffiths Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 28 | €3.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Nicolai Jörgensen Eredivisie · 2021 | 30 | €1.6M | €400k | fell |
| Gustaf Nilsson Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 26 | €1.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Roman Yaremchuk Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 28 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2023 | Jeonbuk Hyundai | Midtjylland | €3.0M | €2.5M |
| 7 Sept 2022 | Gimcheon Sangmu | Jeonbuk Hyundai | Free / loan | €800k |
| 8 Mar 2021 | Jeonbuk Hyundai | Gimcheon Sangmu | Free / loan | €625k |
| 29 Jan 2020 | FC Anyang | Jeonbuk Hyundai | €585k | €650k |
| 4 Jan 2019 | Gwangju Uni | FC Anyang | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2016 | FC Anyang U18 | Gwangju Uni | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2013 | Wongok MS | FC Anyang U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Iho ES | Wongok MS | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.