Sidney Lima
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sidney Lima's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 60
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2933 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1276
- Opponent strength
- 1331
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €3.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts; relative output down 71% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -63% to -44%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 66 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 57%–168%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CD Santa Clara | Liga Portugal | CB | 33 | 2933 | 96% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1331 | 1275 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | CD Santa Clara | Liga Portugal | CB | 31 | 2383 | 78% | 3 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1359 | 1276 | 0.51 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | CD Santa Clara | 5 | 415 | 0 | 0 | 1314 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Semenov Premier Liga · 2020 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Maksim Belyaev Premier Liga · 2020 | 29 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Yohan Tavares Liga Portugal · 2016 | 28 | €2.8M | €600k | fell |
| Igor Vujacic Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €3.5M | €2.8M | fell |
| Maksim Osipenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 27 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Aleksandr Soldatenkov Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Aziz Behich Super Lig · 2017 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Larrys Mabiala Super Lig · 2016 | 29 | €3.0M | €1.3M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Feirense | Santa Clara | Free / loan | €500k |
| 9 Jul 2021 | Felgueiras | Feirense | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Rondoniense-RO | Felgueiras | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Paraíba EC (PB) | Rondoniense-RO | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Ituano U20 | Paraíba EC (PB) | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.