Elye Wahi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Elye Wahi's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-17.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.6M-23.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.5M-23.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (1249 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 11
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €18.7M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1249 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.50
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.62
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1380
- Opponent strength
- 1471
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.5M – €23.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; changed club; team strength down (-181 Elo); relative output up 33% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -59% to -6%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1249 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | ST | 14 | 929 | 30% | 5 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 1471 | 1358 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | ST | 10 | 320 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 1408 | 1445 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | ST | 13 | 575 | 19% | 3 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.42 | 1431 | 1557 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | ST | 8 | 191 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1629 | 1574 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | ST | 27 | 1703 | 56% | 9 | 3 | 0.63 | 0.47 | 1459 | 1518 | 0.87 |
| 2023/24 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 1 | 13 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 1392 | 1434 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 33 | 2531 | 74% | 19 | 6 | 0.89 | 0.87 | 1439 | 1440 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 33 | 1766 | 52% | 10 | 2 | 0.61 | 0.58 | 1417 | 1366 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 18 | 544 | 16% | 3 | 1 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 1434 | 1425 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 2 | 79 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 1673 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 28 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1564 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | RC Lens | 6 | 460 | 2 | 1 | 1671 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | RC Lens | 2 | 146 | 1 | 0 | 1511 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abde Ezzalzouli Laliga · 2023 | 22 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Lazar Markovic Premier League · 2017 | 23 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Riccardo Sottil Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €9.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Luis Muriel Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €10.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Adam Ounas Ligue 1 · 2020 | 24 | €8.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Paul-Georges Ntep Ligue 1 · 2017 | 25 | €8.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Javairô Dilrosun Bundesliga · 2020 | 22 | €14.5M | €6.0M | fell |
| Breel Embolo Bundesliga · 2019 | 22 | €14.0M | €16.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Nice | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Frankfurt | Nice | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Marseille | Frankfurt | €26.0M | €25.0M |
| 13 Aug 2024 | Lens | Marseille | €27.0M | €35.0M |
| 20 Aug 2023 | Montpellier | Lens | €30.0M | €35.0M |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Montpellier B | Montpellier | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Montpellier U17 | Montpellier B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Oct 2018 | Montfermeil U17 | Montpellier U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | SM Caen Jugend | Montfermeil U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.