Yuito Suzuki
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yuito Suzuki's performance-implied value at EUR 5.1M-14.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.8M-38.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.3M-31.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (1637 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 76.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €26.0M vs market €24.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1637 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 77 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1551
- Opponent strength
- 1499
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €13.3M – €31.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 42 pts; changed club; team strength up (+209 Elo); league level up (+228 Elo); role change AM -> SS; relative output down 26% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -52% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1637 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | SS | 25 | 1637 | 53% | 4 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 1499 | 1551 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | AM | 22 | 1892 | 96% | 9 | 4 | 0.62 | 0.43 | 1292 | 1342 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | ST | 16 | 682 | 34% | 5 | 2 | 0.92 | 0.62 | 1305 | 1417 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | ST | 3 | 33 | 1% | 1 | 0 | 2.73 | 0.50 | 1338 | 1441 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | SC Freiburg | 11 | 892 | 4 | 3 | 1485 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | SC Freiburg | 5 | 422 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Japan | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 5 | 432 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 3 | 225 | 1 | 0 | 1417 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 4 | 265 | 2 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Volland Bundesliga · 2017 | 25 | €17.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Krzysztof Piatek Serie A · 2020 | 25 | €21.5M | €12.0M | fell |
| Lukas Nmecha Bundesliga · 2022 | 24 | €18.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Tammy Abraham Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €40.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Bruma Bundesliga · 2018 | 24 | €12.5M | €6.5M | fell |
| Ludovic Blas Ligue 1 · 2024 | 26 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Cenk Tosun Super Lig · 2018 | 27 | €23.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Raúl de Tomás Laliga · 2020 | 26 | €16.0M | €25.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Bröndby IF | Freiburg | €10.0M | €10.0M |
| 11 Aug 2023 | Shimizu S-Pulse | Bröndby IF | €600k | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | R. Strasbourg | Shimizu S-Pulse | Free / loan | €600k |
| 27 Jan 2023 | Shimizu S-Pulse | R. Strasbourg | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Feb 2020 | Ichifuna HS | Shimizu S-Pulse | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.