Jorg Schreuders
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jorg Schreuders's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.60x the positional average in the league (2830 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 98
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €840k vs market €1.7M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 29% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2830 (93% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1248
- Opponent strength
- 1310
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 29%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €3.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 29 pts; role change RW -> LW; relative output down 50% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -45% to -4%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | LW | 34 | 2830 | 92% | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.25 | 1310 | 1248 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RW | 32 | 1946 | 64% | 5 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.52 | 1314 | 1197 | 0.50 |
| 2022/23 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RB | 5 | 340 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1400 | 1146 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 2 | 106 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorin Durmishaj Super League 1 · 2019 | 23 | €900k | €500k | fell |
| Deni Milosevic Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Elayis Tavsan Eredivisie · 2023 | 22 | €1.4M | €1.2M | flat |
| Fábio Sturgeon Liga Portugal · 2016 | 22 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Emmanuel Sabbi Superliga · 2022 | 25 | €700k | €2.5M | rose |
| Mike van Duinen Eredivisie · 2014 | 23 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Mikael Uhre Superliga · 2018 | 24 | €500k | €475k | flat |
| Olivier Deman Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 23 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2023 | Groningen U21 | FC Groningen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Groningen U18 | Groningen U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Groningen U17 | Groningen U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Groningen Youth | Groningen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Quick 1887 Yth. | Groningen Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.