Enzo Barrenechea
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Enzo Barrenechea's performance-implied value at EUR 6.0M-20.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.6M-17.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.3M-21.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.38x the positional average in the league (1798 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 51
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 76th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €11.5M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1798 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1634
- Opponent strength
- 1309
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.3M – €21.6M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+171 Elo); league level down (-137 Elo); relative output down 71% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -46% to +1%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1798 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | DM | 26 | 1798 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1309 | 1634 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | Valencia CF | Laliga | DM | 30 | 2206 | 65% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 1509 | 1463 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Frosinone Calcio | Serie A | DM | 36 | 2817 | 82% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 1474 | 1308 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Juventus FC | Serie A | CM | 3 | 158 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1364 | 1614 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 9 | 573 | 1 | 0 | 1606 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 4 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
| 2025/26 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1610 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 2 | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Frosinone Calcio | 3 | 162 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Juventus FC | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1601 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1772 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taras Stepanenko Premier Liga · 2017 | 28 | €8.5M | €10.0M | flat |
| Bart Ramselaar Eredivisie · 2018 | 22 | €6.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Gabriel Pires Liga Portugal · 2019 | 26 | €13.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Fred Premier Liga · 2015 | 22 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Stephen Eustaquio Liga Portugal · 2024 | 28 | €11.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Viktor Kovalenko Premier Liga · 2018 | 22 | €5.0M | €4.8M | flat |
| Glen Kamara Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 26 | €6.0M | €5.5M | flat |
| João Palhinha Liga Portugal · 2021 | 26 | €18.0M | €40.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Benfica | Aston Villa | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 18 Jul 2025 | Aston Villa | Benfica | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Valencia | Aston Villa | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Aston Villa | Valencia | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Juventus | Aston Villa | €8.0M | €7.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Frosinone | Juventus | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 15 Aug 2023 | Juventus | Frosinone | Free / loan | €900k |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Juve Next Gen | Juventus | Unknown | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Juventus U19 | Juventus U23 | Unknown | €400k |
| 31 Jan 2020 | FC Sion | Juventus U19 | €5.2M | €100k |
| 22 Aug 2019 | Newell's II | FC Sion | €3.1M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Newell's U20 | Newell's II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.