Yaroslav Gladyshev
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yaroslav Gladyshev's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-4.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-4.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-5.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.64x the positional average in the league (995 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.3M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 995 (37% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1325
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €5.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 26 pts; relative output down 58% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -74% to +124%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 995 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | RW | 22 | 995 | 37% | 1 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 1325 | 1423 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | RW | 28 | 1688 | 63% | 10 | 6 | 0.85 | 0.66 | 1311 | 1445 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | RW | 14 | 415 | 15% | 2 | 0 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 1301 | 1374 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | RW | 26 | 918 | 34% | 5 | 3 | 0.78 | 0.52 | 1290 | 1325 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | ST | 7 | 66 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 1.36 | 0.49 | 1339 | 1374 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 372 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 11 | 735 | 3 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 519 | 2 | 3 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 8 | 401 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 2 | 34 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frédéric Bulot Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 24 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Richairo Zivkovic Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 22 | €2.5M | €650k | fell |
| Andreas Cornelius Superliga · 2016 | 23 | €1.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Roman Zozulya Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €5.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Nikola Stojiljkovic Liga Portugal · 2017 | 25 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Leandro Trossard Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 23 | €4.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Shamar Nicholson Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €4.5M | €3.8M | flat |
| Ally Samatta Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 26 | €3.0M | €9.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Dynamo 2 | Dynamo Moscow | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Dynamo M II | Dynamo 2 | Unknown | €125k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Dynamo U17 | Dynamo M II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.