Juanlu Sánchez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Juanlu Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 3.7M-10.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.2M-12.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.2M-15.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 47
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.4M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 14% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1994 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1502
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 14%
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.2M – €15.7M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 60% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -62% to +150%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | RB | 32 | 1994 | 58% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1502 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | RB | 32 | 1724 | 50% | 4 | 4 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 1529 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | RB | 26 | 1173 | 34% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 1517 | 1475 | 1.00 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 3 | 207 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 3 | 213 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 6 | 320 | 0 | 1 | 1657 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 4 | 235 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Super Cup | Sevilla FC | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1894 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abakar Sylla Ligue 1 · 2024 | 22 | €12.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Maxime Estève Premier League · 2024 | 22 | €7.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Mauricio Lemos Laliga · 2018 | 23 | €5.5M | €1.6M | fell |
| Sergi Palencia Ligue 1 · 2019 | 23 | €6.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Benjamin Henrichs Ligue 1 · 2019 | 22 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Andrea Cambiaso Serie A · 2023 | 23 | €8.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt Bundesliga · 2020 | 23 | €11.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Sime Vrsaljko Serie A · 2015 | 23 | €7.5M | €16.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | CD Mirandés | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €800k |
| 8 Aug 2022 | Sevilla FC | CD Mirandés | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Sevilla Atl. | Sevilla FC | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Sevilla FC U16 | Sevilla Atl. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Altair U16 | Sevilla FC U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Sevilla FC Yth. | Altair U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.