Isaac Romero
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Isaac Romero's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-7.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.6M-7.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.2M-5.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (1490 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 27
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 56.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €4.3M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1490 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1490
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.2M – €5.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; relative output up 33% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -62% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1490 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 29 | 1490 | 44% | 4 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 1490 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 31 | 2171 | 63% | 4 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 1521 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 14 | 1050 | 31% | 4 | 4 | 0.69 | 0.68 | 1486 | 1475 | 1.00 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 140 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Víctor Ibarbo Serie A · 2015 | 25 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Mama Baldé Ligue 1 · 2022 | 27 | €4.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Irvin Cardona Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €4.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Ibrahima Balde Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €4.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Aleksandr Kokorin Premier Liga · 2016 | 25 | €5.0M | €11.0M | rose |
| Alexander Esswein Bundesliga · 2017 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Tete Morente Laliga · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Ezequiel Ponce Laliga · 2022 | 25 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2024 | Sevilla Atl. | Sevilla FC | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Sevilla FC C | Sevilla Atl. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | CA Antoniano | Sevilla FC C | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Antoniano U19 | CA Antoniano | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Balón de Cádiz | Antoniano U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Antoniano U19 | Balón de Cádiz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.