Tuur Rommens

23 yrs · Left-back · Belgium
KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: left · Height: 185 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€7.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€5.0M – €9.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€841k – €4.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.1M – €10.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€8.5M – -€363k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€5.0M – €9.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€841k – €4.6M
Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €10.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tuur Rommens's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-4.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.0M-9.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.1M-10.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 30

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage39.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €6.8M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationLow-17% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1680 (57% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.11
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
40 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1370
Opponent strength
1396
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.1M – €10.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; league level down (-40 Elo); relative output down 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -47% to +17%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1680 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
76 (DEF)
Relative output kept
67%–160%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KVC WesterloJupiler Pro LeagueLB15122345%000.000.07139613480.65
2025/26Rangers FCScottish PremiershipLB645715%110.390.12118714270.31
2024/25KVC WesterloJupiler Pro LeagueLB28239289%030.110.13138213220.63
2023/24KVC WesterloJupiler Pro LeagueLB1694335%120.290.26140512930.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Scottish Fa CupRangers FC216300—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jhon Lucumí
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
24€9.0M€17.0Mrose
Alexandre Penetra
Eredivisie · 2024
23€4.5M€10.0Mrose
Reggie Cannon
Liga Portugal · 2022
24€4.0M€2.2Mfell
Modibo Sagnan
Eredivisie · 2023
24€3.0M€3.0Mflat
Liberato Cacace
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
22€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Premier Liga · 2020
24€3.2M€1.0Mfell
Alexander Scholz
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
24€4.5M€2.2Mfell
Carlos Cuesta
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
23€7.0M€6.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
14 Jan 2026KVC WesterloRangers€3.6M€4.0M
4 Jul 2023Jong GenkKVC WesterloUnknown€400k
1 Jul 2020KRC Genk U18KRC Genk U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019KRC Genk YouthKRC Genk U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Westerlo Yth.KRC Genk YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Tuur Rommens · MoneyballAI