Mykyta Turbayevskyi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mykyta Turbayevskyi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 6.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €170k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 630 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1192
- Opponent strength
- 1117
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €157k – €445k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +15% (IQR +0% to +69%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 630 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | GK | 7 | 630 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 1117 | 1192 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | GK | 13 | 1170 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1202 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | GK | 11 | 901 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1217 | 1235 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1549 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yevgeniy Kucherenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €250k | €400k | rose |
| Georgiy Yermakov Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €200k | €2.5M | rose |
| Jon McCracken Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €250k | €500k | rose |
| Vasilios Athanasiou Super League 1 · 2023 | 24 | €175k | €200k | flat |
| Antonis Stergiakis Super League 1 · 2023 | 24 | €300k | €350k | flat |
| Tarık Çetin Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Oleg Kudryk Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Volodymyr Makhankov Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €400k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Zorya Lugansk | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 29 Sept 2022 | Shakhtar U19 | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Lokomotiva U19 | Shakhtar U19 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 8 Apr 2022 | Shakhtar U19 | Lokomotiva U19 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 5 Apr 2022 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar U19 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Shakhtar U19 | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 16 Nov 2018 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.