Jon McCracken
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jon McCracken's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 94
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 15.6th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €323k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2970 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1121
- Opponent strength
- 1226
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €323k – €726k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 52 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -13% to +20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 38 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 74%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 33 | 2970 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1226 | 1121 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 16 | 1440 | 48% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 1220 | 1122 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 7 | 630 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1243 | 1153 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lefteris Choutesiotis Super League 1 · 2022 | 28 | €450k | €400k | flat |
| Matej Delac Superliga · 2021 | 29 | €300k | €350k | flat |
| Yevgen Volynets Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Zander Clark Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 27 | €350k | €450k | rose |
| Andreas Gianniotis Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €600k | €375k | fell |
| Scott Bain Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 25 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Gary Woods Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 28 | €325k | €300k | flat |
| Pavlo Isenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 21 | €700k | €1.2M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Dundee FC | Without Club | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Norwich | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 May 2024 | Dundee FC | Norwich | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Feb 2024 | Norwich | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Dec 2023 | Accrington | Norwich | Free / loan | €200k |
| 29 Sept 2023 | Norwich | Accrington | Free / loan | €175k |
| 16 Aug 2023 | Dundee FC | Norwich | Free / loan | €175k |
| 3 Jul 2023 | Norwich | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Norwich U21 | Norwich | Unknown | €175k |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Stevenage | Norwich U21 | Free / loan | €175k |
| 10 Mar 2023 | Norwich U21 | Stevenage | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Nov 2022 | Bohemians | Norwich U21 | Free / loan | €100k |
| 21 Jul 2022 | Norwich U21 | Bohemians | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Norwich U18 | Norwich City U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 24 Aug 2016 | Hamilton A. U17 | Norwich U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.